Thursday, January 3, 2008

John Edwards Starts his March to D.C.

Today marks the beginning of the end for Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama and the rise of the grassroots of the Democratic Party and John Edwards' candidacy. Ironically, this is exactly where Edwards was in 2004 when he came out of nowhere to finish strongly and eventually rise to Vice Presidential candidate.

Hillary had a 25% lead at one point in 2007 and her machine has seemed to stall dramatically of late. Obama has rejuvenated his campaign with the formal addition of Oprah to his cause. Edwards has just plodded along, raising half the money of the frontrunners and gaining momentum by the day.

My guess is that Clinton, given her impressive machine, will still win Iowa, with Edwards finishing second. Obama's largely youth-lead vote will not get out the vote as effectively as the other two stellar organizations. It's rumoured that Clinton has somewhere around three to four thousand committed drivers and poll captains - eight to ten times the norm for an Iowa Caucus.

It's also amazing to hear that both Obama and Clinton are on target to raise $100,000,000 each for this ride to the White House. Amazing in the fact that the next Prime Minister of Canada was only able to raise just under $1 million for his leadership. Amazing in the fact that the same leader was only allowed to spend a maximum of $3.4 million.

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