Friday, April 11, 2008

NDP Tank in the Polls....Conservatives Can't Gain an Ounce

More proof that Canadians are feeling the NDP, and their lack of any strategy of their own, is playing out well for Liberals. In the meantime, as much as Harperites would lead us to believe, Dion and the Liberal brand is stronger by the day. These numbers must be depressing for poor Harpocrite.

Here's some highlights from Nik Nanos' most recent poll.

Question: For those parties you would consider voting for federally, could you please rank your top two current local preferences? (Committed Voters Only - First Choice)

The numbers in parenthesis denotes the change from the previous Nanos Research Survey completed in February, 2008.

Canada (N=827, MoE ± 3.4%, 19 times out of 20)
Liberal Party 36% (+3)
Conservative Party 36% (+5)
NDP 14% (-5)
BQ 8% (-2)
Green Party 6% (-2)

(N=251, MoE ± 6.3%, 19 times out of 20)
Liberal Party 50% (+7)
Conservative Party 32% (+1)
NDP 13% (-6)
Green Party 6% (-1)

Quebec (N=202, MoE ± 7.0%, 19 times out of 20)
BQ 35%(-2)
Conservative Party 23% (NC)
Liberal Party 23% (+1)
NDP 13% (+1)
Green Party 6% (NC)

Noteworthy is the fact that - despite Chantal Hebert's ringing of the bell for the death of Dion in Quebec - the Liberals are now tied for second in La Belle Province.

Also notable is the Liberals are now over 50% in Atlantic Canada and the Dippers have plunged out west by five points. As usual, the Liberals are behind the 8-ball out west.

Here's the rest of Nik's poll

1 comment:

Alan said...

I think it's important to note that this poll was taken during the breakout of the story over the anti gay Lukiwski remarks, so that huge surge for the Liberals in Ontario may have just been a temporary jump of soft NDP voters scared of Tories and their right wing regressive agenda.

La Presse had a poll saying we're 5 points behind the Tories, but Harris-Decima had one with Liberals ahead by 1 point. But actually, I like Nanos' poll the best because it's the most accurate (he predicted the 2006 numbers down almost to the tee)