Over the next couple weeks there are 4, count 'em, 4 nominations.
Oak Ridges -- Markham - May 26, 2009 My good buddy Lui Temelkovski
Mississauga Erindale - May 27, 2009 My other buddy Omar Alghabra
Kitchener Centre - May 29, 2009 Karen Redman?
Kitchener Waterloo - June 14, 2009 Could it be Telegdi again?
Anywho, the speculation begins.
8 comments:
Telegdi I heard is on a sabbatical from politics, so he's not likely returning. As for Alghabra, sure he can run again, he just better do a hell of a better job than that piss poor effort he put into it last time.
Omar lost by 239 votes. hardly a piss poor effort
Tegledi's out? Noooo!! I would have paid money to watch him take that riding.
Omar won 26852 votes in 2006, compared to Dechert's 23524. In 2008, Dechert won 23863 compared to Omar's 23466. If you do the math correctly, you'll see while Dechert only picked up 339 new votes from 2006, Omar LOST 3386 Liberal votes from last time. Ironically, 3386 was roughly the estimated margin of victory which Omar won by in 2006 on his first election. Obviously based on that evidence, his GOTV operation was not working as well as it should. That's what he needs to improve on.
Let me give you an example of how Omar fell back a bit last time. Bonnie Crombie, the Liberal CANDIDATE, told me she was sending her volunteers to help HIM (Omar, the incumbent) because he was falling behind. When a first time rookie is helping out an incumbent with staffing volunteers, that tells me something was wrong.
What a crock of shit. Omar did WELL in comparative terms to the rest of Ontario. And, with all due respect to Bonnie, that's bullshit. Everyone helped everyone in Mississauga. Bonnie lost 2200 votes for the Liberals in Mississauga Streetsville and the Consevatives actually gained 1% in her riding WITH Wajid as the candidate.
Ruby Dhalla lost almost 4000 votes and nearly lost her riding. Navdeep Bains, who won easily, still lost 6000 votes from the previous election. In Brampton West, Andrew Kania had three weeks to campaign as the party made him fight a nomination contest in the middle of a writ, and we lost 6000 votes from the previous election.
In Oakville, Bonnie Brown lost 5300 votes from the 2006 election. In Etobicoke North, Kirsty Duncan dropped almost 7000 votes from Roy Cullens previous total.
Just wondered if you see a trend here yet BRO.
Hi Jen,
At least Andrew Telegdi stood up last year and voted against that shitty Conservative immigration bill we let slip into a budget that cost us in all the Vancouver and GTA ridings.
I wrote up a piece on the GTA 'vote drop' stats here. It was the same all over - Liberals stayed home in droves.
Update: apparently according to a source I know from Waterloo, Telegdi's actually running again.
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