The "What Do I Know Grit"
Warren Kinsella's prediction may be more believable, but not a journalist from the Star. At the end of the day, we'll have to see. But I don't think the election will be in the summer. Looking at yesterday's economic 'report card' and I don't really see anything that jumps out that signals that the Liberals may trigger an election over it. On the other hand, the Liberals may show some spine for once and put forward a confidence motion to dare the other parties to vote for it, or cower behind the government. Either way, it seems to be a win win.
I'm betting you're wrong, James, but if you're not, that would be an interesting development.The polls have been favoring the Liberals and climbing, and it would appear that if Ignatieff is triggering an election in clear minority territory, the insiders are reading that their polls may not hold.My guess is that reports that the economy is on an upswing are a serious dissappointment to Ignatieff, and so he's figuring on striking now, to avoid a potential Conservative surge.
As I've said to friends and foe alike, what would be the incentive for either the Bloc or the NDP? Jack would be reduced to a rump thereby ending his federal career. Gilles is enjoying his large number of seats. I would, however, enjoy seeing the Liberals stand up for something just once, regardless of the outcome.
Jack would pull the plug in an instant. The Liberal Party is the only party in league with the HarperCons, in case you missed the last 150 or so confidence votes.
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