Saturday, January 19, 2008
Why John Edwards is Still Running
Many of you have asked why my guy Edwards is still even in this race. "He's not even close!" is usually the phrase utilized. To those doubters I reply simply, you don't know much about how the American system works.
On the surface it would appear that Clinton has a clear and dominating lead with victories in New Hampshire and Michican. Convincingly by vote counts in both states. Obama, similarly had a big caucus win (popularity contest) in Iowa.
Looks like the two frontrunners leave Edwards in the dust right? Wrong!!! Here's why. After Obama and Clinton outspending Edwards 6 and 7 times to one, the lead they have is minimal.
Clinton has managed to grab just 25 delegates to date. $1.25 million per delegate in spending. Obama? Just 24 delegates. $1.1 million per delegate.
And my boy Johnny??? 18 delegates. Just 7 delegates out of first place. Throw Joe Trippi's master planning behind the scenes and you have a very very winnable campaign. One hiccup a la Howard Dean and one of the top two lose to Edwards.
As an aside, Romney will win Nevada today (with McCain a disant third), Huckabee will win South Carolina and McCain will limp into Florida where Giuliani begins his march to the Rebublican nomination. Edwards is the only candidate for the Dems that can beat Giuliani.